Opportunities on the Horizon: Investing Through a Slowing Economy

contents 2
Foreword 3
Overview 4
Our 2023 Mid-Year Wealth Outlook 5
Recession, recovery: A journey unfinished 10
The value of strategic asset allocation: Mitigating portfolio risk during times of investor stress 18
A guide to investing through a slowing economy 24
Currencies 26
As dollar dominance ends, currencies may drive returns 27
Bonds are Back Again 33
Bonds are Back Again: Where to find potential fixed income opportunities now 34
A sequence of equity opportunities 38
Unstoppable trends 43
Putting national security interests ahead of economic cooperation: The evolution of G2 deglobalizati 44
Unusual investment opportunities in an atypical energy cycle 50
Generative AI: The beginning of (another) technological revolution 57
Regional previews 61
Asia: Economies get a boost from the late reopening, weaker dollar 62
Europe: Selective opportunities amid modest growth 65
Latin America: Favorable financial conditions, cautious Central Banks 67
North America faces a rolling recession 69
GLOSSARY 72
Disclosures 77

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